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Pension Parameters

20
Monthly Benefit in Final Year
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Total Lifetime Payout
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Loss vs Uncapped Inflation
$0Effective loss if inflation > cap
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About

Retirement planning often focuses on the starting number: the monthly check you receive on day one. However, the real danger to a secure retirement is the slow, silent erosion of purchasing power over decades. This Pension COLA (Cost of Living Adjustment) Calculator projects the future value of your pension benefits under various inflation scenarios. It is designed to demonstrate the "Compound Indexing Effect", where a difference of just 0.5% in annual adjustments can result in a cumulative difference of tens of thousands of dollars over a 20 or 30-year retirement.

The tool includes a projection engine based on historical Social Security Administration (SSA) COLA data and allows users to input fixed vs. capped indexing rules common in private and public funds. Use this to stress-test your retirement portfolio against high-inflation environments.

retirement planning COLA inflation pension social security

Formulas

The projection uses the compound interest formula applied to the monthly benefit payment. For any given year n, the benefit is:

Bn = Bstart × (
1 + COLA
)
n

Cumulative Payout over T years is the sum of the geometric series:

Total = Tn=1 12 × Bn

Reference Data

YearMonthly Benefit (No COLA)Monthly Benefit (2% COLA)Monthly Benefit (4% COLA)
Year 1$2,000$2,040$2,080
Year 5$2,000$2,208$2,433
Year 10$2,000$2,438$2,960
Year 20$2,000$2,972$4,382
Year 30$2,000$3,623$6,486

Frequently Asked Questions

Not exactly. Social Security COLA is based on the CPI-W index. In years where CPI-W is flat or negative, the COLA is 0%. There is no negative adjustment, but purchasing power can still lag if costs for seniors (like healthcare) rise faster than the general basket of goods.
Many private and state pensions have a cap, for example, "CPI up to 3%". If inflation hits 8% (as seen recently), your pension only increases by 3%, causing a significant loss in real value. This tool allows you to simulate that cap.
Because the adjustment is applied to the new, higher base each year. A 3% increase on a base that has already grown for 15 years is much larger in dollar terms than a 3% increase on the original starting amount.