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Nominal Growth--
Real Growth (Inflation Adj.)--
CAGR (Annualized)--
Enter values to see economic analysis.
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About

GDP Growth is the primary thermometer for economic performance, indicating whether an economy is expanding, stagnant, or in recession. However, nominal growth figures can be misleading due to currency devaluation. This calculator distinguishes between Nominal Growth (raw numbers) and Real Growth (adjusted for inflation/deflator), providing a technically accurate assessment of economic progress. It also computes the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for periods exceeding one year, smoothing out volatility.

gdp growth cagr inflation recession economics

Formulas

1. Nominal Growth Rate:

GDPfinal GDPinitialGDPinitial × 100

2. Real GDP Adjustment:

GDPreal = GDPnominal1 + (Inflation / 100)

3. CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate):

(EndStart)1/n 1

Reference Data

Growth Rate (%)ClassificationEconomic Context
2.0% or lessDeep RecessionHigh unemployment, business closures (e.g., 2008 Crisis).
0% to 2.0%StagnationSlow movement, often below potential output.
2.0% to 3.5%Healthy GrowthIdeal range for developed economies. Sustainable.
4.0% to 6.0%Boom / RapidCommon in developing markets or recovery phases.
7.0%+OverheatingRisk of high inflation and subsequent bubbles.
Negative 2 QtrsTechnical RecessionStandard definition of a recession.

Frequently Asked Questions

If an economy grows by 5% but inflation is 6%, the country actually produced fewer goods and services than the year before. Real GDP strips out price effects to reveal the actual production capacity.
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) smoothes out the volatility of year-over-year changes. It answers the question: "If the economy grew at a steady rate every year to get from Point A to Point B, what would that rate be?"
Yes. "Overheating" occurs when demand outstrips supply capacity, leading to unmanageable inflation, asset bubbles, and eventual crashes (boom-and-bust cycles).
It is a measure of the price level of all new, domestically produced, final goods and services in an economy. It is a broader inflation measure than the CPI.