Business Growth Calculator
Advanced financial forecasting tool with industry benchmarks (SaaS, E-commerce, Marketplace). Calculate MRR/ARR trajectories, valuation estimates, and generate investor pitch scripts.
About
Accurate revenue forecasting is the backbone of strategic planning and fundraising. This tool goes beyond simple compound interest by integrating industry-specific benchmarks for Growth Rates, Churn, and Valuation Multiples. It allows founders and analysts to model scenarios based on real market data rather than guesswork.
Understanding the difference between Gross Growth and Net Revenue Retention (NRR) is critical. A high growth rate masked by high churn results in a leaky bucket model, which kills valuations. This calculator visualizes the trajectory of your Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and estimates potential company valuation based on current market multiples.
Formulas
The calculator projects future revenue using a discrete time-series model. For each period t (months), the revenue R is calculated by applying the Net Growth Rate.
Valuation Estimation:
Valuation is estimated based on the projected Annualized Run Rate (ARR) at month t multiplied by the industry multiple M.
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR):
Reference Data
| Industry Sector | Avg. MoM Growth | Good Annual Churn | Valuation Multiple (ARR) | Key Metric Focus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B2B SaaS (Enterprise) | 5% - 8% | 6% - 10% | 8x - 15x | Net Dollar Retention (NDR) |
| B2B SaaS (SMB) | 3% - 6% | 15% - 30% | 5x - 10x | Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) |
| Fintech / Payments | 7% - 12% | 10% - 15% | 10x - 20x | Gross Transaction Value (GTV) |
| Consumer App (Sub) | 5% - 15% | 30% - 50% | 4x - 8x | Daily Active Users (DAU) |
| E-commerce (D2C) | 10% - 20% | N/A (Repurchase Rate) | 1x - 3x | Contribution Margin |
| Marketplace (2-sided) | 8% - 15% | 20% (Supply Side) | 5x - 12x | Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) |
| EdTech | 4% - 9% | 20% - 40% | 4x - 9x | Lifetime Value (LTV) |
| HealthTech | 5% - 10% | 5% - 12% | 6x - 14x | Regulatory Moat |
| Cybersecurity | 6% - 10% | 5% - 8% | 9x - 18x | Logo Retention |
| AI / Deep Tech | 10% - 25% | 5% - 15% | 15x - 50x | Technology IP |
| Agency / Service | 2% - 5% | 20% - 30% | 1x - 2x | EBITDA Margin |
| Logistics / Supply Chain | 3% - 7% | 10% - 20% | 3x - 6x | Volume Density |
| Hardware (IoT) | 5% - 10% | 10% (Software) | 3x - 7x | Hardware Margin + Recurring |